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Economics
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Why People Do What They Do
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5 min
Why People Do What They Do
The hidden force shaping every decision you've ever made
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In the 1900s, the French colonial government in Hanoi had a rat problem. Their solution: pay citizens for every rat tail turned in. Within weeks, people were breeding rats in their basements. The rat population exploded. This is what happens when you get incentives wrong.
Here's the uncomfortable truth: you are not as in control of your decisions as you think. You don't just do things because you want to. You do things because the costs and rewards around you make certain choices feel obvious. Change those costs and rewards β€” and you change the behavior. Every time. This is what economists mean by incentives. And once you see them, you cannot stop seeing them everywhere.
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Analogy
Think about how YouTube's mid-roll ads changed videos. The moment the platform allowed extra ads on videos over ten minutes, creators everywhere started padding to 10:01. Nobody told them to. The incentive β€” more ad slots, more money β€” shaped the behavior automatically. Now compare that to the old music industry, where labels paid per album sold. Artists made long albums packed with filler tracks. Same creators. Different incentives. Completely different output. The system shaped the output, not the intentions.
Incentives come in two flavors. Positive incentives make a behavior more attractive β€” bonuses, discounts, likes, praise. Negative incentives make a behavior more costly β€” fines, social shame, losing access to something you want. Both work. But here's where it gets weird: the same incentive can produce completely opposite effects depending on context.
Make your call
A daycare starts fining parents who pick up their kids late. What happens to the number of late pickups? Take a guess before reading on.
A
Late pickups decrease β€” parents don't want to pay the fine
B
Late pickups stay roughly the same β€” a small fine isn't much of a deterrent
C
Late pickups increase β€” the fine accidentally removes a more powerful incentive
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Example
A daycare in Israel was tired of parents picking up their kids late. So they introduced a fine. Logical, right? Punish the bad behavior. Except late pickups doubled. Why? Before the fine, parents felt guilty β€” a powerful social incentive. After the fine, they felt like they'd paid for the extra time. The guilt was gone. The fine accidentally destroyed the more powerful incentive it was trying to replace. You'd think charging money would reduce a behavior. You'd be wrong.
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Key Insight
Every incentive has a shadow. When you reward or punish one thing, you're always changing something else too β€” usually something you didn't plan for. These are called unintended consequences, and they're not accidents. They're incentives working exactly as designed, just on behaviors you forgot to think about.
This is why policy is so hard. When governments cap rent prices to make housing affordable, landlords have less incentive to maintain buildings or build new ones. Supply shrinks. The shortage gets worse. The goal was affordable housing. The incentive created less housing. Same thing happens with drug laws, tax codes, workplace policies β€” the moment you create a rule, everyone around it starts optimizing for the rule, not the goal behind it. This is the same trap the Hanoi rat-tail program fell into. Economists call it Goodhart's Law: when a measure becomes a target, it ceases to be a good measure.
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Key Insight
The most powerful incentives aren't financial. Status, belonging, fear of embarrassment, the need to feel consistent with your own identity β€” these drive more behavior than most price changes ever will. Any model of human behavior that ignores this is missing most of the picture.
So how do you use this? Next time a system isn't producing the outcome you want β€” at work, in your friend group, in your own habits β€” stop asking why people are being difficult or lazy or irrational. Ask what the incentives actually reward. You'll almost always find that people are responding completely rationally to the wrong incentive. Fix the incentive, fix the behavior. That's the whole game.
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Sources
Images from Wikimedia Commons. Attribution required by license.
Skinner operant conditioning box laboratory apparatus
Generated by Grok Imagine (xAI), prompt: Generate a single 16:9 horizontal image for an educational lesson. Lesson title: "Why People Do What They Do" Β· The hidden force shaping every decision you've ever made Domain: economics Subject: Skin…
daycare pickup parents waiting
Generated by Grok Imagine (xAI), prompt: Generate a single 4:3 horizontal image for an educational lesson. Lesson title: "Why People Do What They Do" Β· The hidden force shaping every decision you've ever made Domain: economics Subject: dayca…
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